L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 18:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 5–7 St. Louis Cardinals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 56.49%1.77cote équitable
EV +0.555%
Avantage +0.312%
Kelly +0.711%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%56.48%56.58%58.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.691.691.7862.50%59.32%59.17%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.51%2.30cote équitable
EV +0.069%
Avantage +0.030%
Kelly +0.053%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.13%43.52%43.42%45.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.192.182.3047.62%45.71%45.87%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV +0.555%E +0.312%K +0.711%G +0.004%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 18:09
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -0.575%E -0.327%K -0.756%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.85%E -1.74%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 17:10
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.70%E -0.980%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.70%E -0.980%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 17:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.70%E -0.980%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.70%E -0.980%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 18:05
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -1.70%E -0.980%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -7.33%E -3.44%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 18:08
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.24%E -0.544%K -0.973%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 18:09
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.54%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.54%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 18:10
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:05
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 17:15
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 18:00
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 17:15
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.069%E +0.030%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-19 18:09
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 18:09
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:55
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.89%E -3.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:05
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:10
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 18:00
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:00
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:15
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:00
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.11%E -0.936%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 17:10
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.11%E -0.936%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 17:04
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 18:09
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 18:08
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.11%E -0.936%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 18:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.11%E -0.936%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:17
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:09
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 18:10
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 17:09
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:10
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:10
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:10
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:10
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -6.89%E -3.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 18:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.35%E -4.48%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.35%E -4.48%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 17:10
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.92%E -4.86%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:10
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.92%E -4.86%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:10
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 18:10
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 18:10
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -9.61%E -6.01%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -0.366%E -0.160%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.61%E -6.01%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-04-19 18:09
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-19 18:09
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-19 17:05
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-04-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-04-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-04-19 18:10
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-04-19 18:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-04-19 18:10
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%5.4%2026-04-19 17:15