La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

Inizio: 2026-05-14 00:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 4–3 Seattle Mariners

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 44.24%2.26quota equa
EV +23.88%
Vantaggio +8.53%
Kelly +13.27%
Crescita +3.17%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.12%43.59%44.16%47.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.962.192.152.8051.02%45.61%46.51%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.76%1.79quota equa
EV +0.364%
Vantaggio +0.202%
Kelly +0.455%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.13%56.41%55.84%65.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.681.711.8068.97%59.40%58.48%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +23.88%E +8.53%K +13.27%G +3.17%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -19.15%E -13.21%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 00:10
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +12.82%E +5.03%K +8.27%G +1.06%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -16.36%E -10.91%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 00:10
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +12.82%E +5.03%K +8.27%G +1.06%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -16.36%E -10.91%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 00:10
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +12.82%E +5.03%K +8.27%G +1.06%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -16.36%E -10.91%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 00:10
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +10.61%E +4.24%K +7.07%G +0.750%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -17.48%E -11.81%K -36.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 00:10
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV +9.72%E +3.92%K +6.57%G +0.638%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -18.04%E -12.27%K -38.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 00:10
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV +8.39%E +3.43%K +5.79%G +0.486%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -18.04%E -12.27%K -38.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV +8.39%E +3.43%K +5.79%G +0.486%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -19.15%E -13.21%K -42.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-14 00:10
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.76%E +0.764%K +1.35%G +0.024%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-13 23:55
Everygame2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.430%E +0.189%K +0.339%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 23:55
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV +0.430%E +0.189%K +0.339%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 23:50
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +0.430%E +0.189%K +0.339%G +0.001%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:50
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +0.430%E +0.189%K +0.339%G +0.001%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:50
BetAnything2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.012%E -0.005%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 23:45
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -0.455%E -0.202%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -11.35%E -7.14%K -19.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 00:10
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -0.897%E -0.401%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.98%E -1.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:45
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.897%E -0.401%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-13 22:55
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.78%E -0.803%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.77%E -3.41%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 23:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.67%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 22:55
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.67%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.77%E -3.41%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 22:55
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.67%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 22:55
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.11%E -1.42%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 00:09
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 23:15
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 21:00
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 23:35
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.44%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.98%E -1.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 22:40
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 21:14
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 00:10
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 00:00
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:05
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 00:00
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:35
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:35
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:10
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.77%E -3.41%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 00:10
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 00:10
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.76%E -2.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 22:40
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:10
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:10
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:10
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:10
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.31%E -0.739%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 20:25
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 00:10
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 17:00
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.98%E -3.83%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 00:10
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.31%E -0.739%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:00
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.31%E -0.739%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:10
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.31%E -0.739%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:10
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 20:24
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 00:00
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 00:10
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 00:10
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 00:10
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -10.63%E -5.26%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 00:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.52%E -5.76%K -11.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.52%E -5.76%K -11.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.56%E -5.22%K -13.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-14 00:10
DraftKings1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -13.29%E -6.78%K -13.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV +0.364%E +0.202%K +0.455%G +0.002%6.6%2026-05-14 00:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-05-14 00:10
Novig2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-14 00:09
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-05-14 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-05-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-05-14 00:10
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-05-14 00:10
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-05-14 00:10
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-05-14 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-05-14 00:10
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%3.3%2026-05-13 23:45