默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

2026-08-16 23:20 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

55%

45%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Houston Astros (主队)

预测 55.07%1.82公平赔率

EV -1.98%

优势 -1.11%

Kelly -2.54%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布

54.26%55.10%55.04%56.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.661.731.731.7860.24%57.79%57.80%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

Seattle Mariners (客队)

预测 44.93%2.23公平赔率

EV +1.10%

优势 +0.489%

Kelly +0.880%

增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布

43.61%44.90%44.96%45.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.002.132.132.2550.00%46.94%46.95%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Houston Astros (主队)：55.07%；Seattle Mariners (客队)：44.93%。对于“Seattle Mariners (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.23。有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.25，由此产生+1.10%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
GTbets🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.10%E +0.489%K +0.880%G +0.010%	1.9%	2026-08-16 02:19
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.247%E -0.111%K -0.203%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-16 02:19
LowVig.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.247%E -0.111%K -0.203%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-16 02:19
BetUS🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.247%E -0.111%K -0.203%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-16 02:19
Caesars🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.15%E -0.521%K -0.955%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-16 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.15%E -0.521%K -0.955%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-15 23:34
1xBet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.98%E -1.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.04%E -0.938%K -1.73%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-16 01:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.04%E -0.938%K -1.73%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-08-15 23:44
FanDuel🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.54%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-15 22:09
Betway🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-15 23:24
TAB🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.63%E -2.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-16 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-15 23:49
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-15 23:49
BetRivers🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-15 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-15 23:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-16 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-16 02:19
Coral🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-16 02:19
BetMGM🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.84%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-16 02:20
Paddy Power🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -12.00%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-15 22:08
Bovada🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.84%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-16 02:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.84%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-15 23:49
Casumo🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.84%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-15 23:49
Unibet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.84%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-15 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.84%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-15 23:49
betPARX🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.84%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-15 23:49
Bally Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.84%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-15 23:48
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.63%E -2.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.29%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-16 00:33
BetAnything🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.63%E -2.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.29%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-16 00:30
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.29%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-15 23:53
Bet Right🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-15 22:29
PlayUp🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 23:34
TABtouch🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 23:49
NordicBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-16 02:00
Betsson🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-16 02:05
Marathon Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.19%E -2.46%K -4.68%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-16 01:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-15 18:39
Fliff🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-16 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 21:54
Bet Victor🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 21:54
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 18:39
Neds🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-16 02:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-16 02:19
betano_uk🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-16 01:39
SportsBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-15 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-15 21:55
ReBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.84%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 23:24
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.12%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-15 23:49
Virgin Bet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.12%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-15 23:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.09%E -2.91%K -5.59%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 21:53
Grosvenor🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -12.00%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -7.44%E -3.61%K -7.02%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-15 23:49
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.49%E -4.46%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.13%E -5.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-08-15 23:24
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.59%E -5.17%K -13.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.13%E -5.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-08-15 21:54

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%	0.9%	2026-08-16 01:30
Polymarket◎	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%	0.9%	2026-08-15 18:29
ProphetX◎	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%	2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%	1.0%	2026-08-16 02:30
Novig◎	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%	1.5%	2026-08-16 02:30
Matchbook◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%	2.7%	2026-08-16 01:45
Smarkets◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%	9.0%	2026-08-15 23:35

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