Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros v Pittsburgh Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-06-03 00:10 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 6–10 Pittsburgh Pirates

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 51.42%1.94fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.667%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.45%51.34%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.871.9255.56%53.67%53.48%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 48.58%2.06fair odd
EV -0.404%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.385%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.55%48.66%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.952.0553.48%51.02%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 51.42%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 48.58%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -0.404%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -1.28%E -0.667%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-02 20:50
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.79%E -0.939%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-02 12:29
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -2.82%E -1.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -0.890%E -0.436%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-02 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.82%E -1.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.82%E -1.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.82%E -1.49%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 20:49
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -0.404%E -0.197%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-02 22:10
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.890%E -0.436%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-02 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.38%E -0.678%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-02 22:20
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.38%E -0.678%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-02 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.38%E -0.678%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-02 22:19
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.38%E -0.678%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-02 22:20
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.75%E -2.96%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 16:29
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 19:29
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 19:29
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 19:29
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 19:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 19:30
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:29
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.34%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:30
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-02 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 21:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 23:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 09:58
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 21:39
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 10:10
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 00:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 09:20
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 14:40
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 21:39
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.85%E -2.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 21:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.37%E -2.35%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 21:39
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 22:19
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 21:39
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 22:19
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 22:19
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.39%E -2.93%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.93%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.75%E -2.96%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.93%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.75%E -2.96%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 05:30
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 21:40
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 21:40
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.91%E -3.23%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 21:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.80%E -1.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-03 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 21:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -6.94%E -3.83%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-02 23:49
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.83%E -1.42%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.29%E -2.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 06:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-06-03 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-03 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-02 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-02 23:50
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-06-02 23:20
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-03 00:00
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-02 02:50
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-06-02 21:40
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%3.5%2026-06-03 00:00