L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Milwaukee Brewers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 00:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 4–5 Milwaukee Brewers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 43.73%2.29cote équitable
EV +0.585%
Avantage +0.254%
Kelly +0.450%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.64%43.75%43.73%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.182.162.3047.62%45.95%46.30%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.27%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.875%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.55%56.25%56.27%57.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.711.711.7560.61%58.61%58.48%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.585%E +0.254%K +0.450%G +0.003%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-29 23:50
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.16%E -0.515%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-29 21:49
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.16%E -0.515%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 00:00
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 21:49
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 21:49
BetAnything2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 23:59
BetUS2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 21:49
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.53%E -0.875%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-29 22:19
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 21:30
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 22:20
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 21:29
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 00:08
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 21:30
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 21:29
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 22:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 21:29
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 21:19
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 21:29
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:59
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 00:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 21:59
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 21:39
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.23%E -1.93%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 00:09
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.53%E -0.875%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 22:39
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 21:36
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 00:00
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 00:09
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 22:40
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 22:40
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 22:19
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 21:20
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 21:20
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:40
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:39
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:39
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:40
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:39
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:39
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:39
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 21:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 00:09
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 00:09
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 00:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 00:09
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 00:09
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 00:09
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 21:48
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 21:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 00:09
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 22:39
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 22:39
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 22:39
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 22:39
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -6.85%E -3.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 00:09
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.72%E -3.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 00:09
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.53%E -0.875%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 00:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-05-30 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-30 00:10
ProphetX2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%0.5%2026-05-30 00:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-30 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-30 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-30 00:10
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-29 21:20
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-30 00:10
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-05-30 00:09