La escuela de los momios

Houston Astros v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-05-30 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 4–5 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 43.73%2.29momio equitativo
EV +0.585%
Ventaja +0.254%
Kelly +0.450%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.64%43.75%43.73%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.182.162.3047.62%45.95%46.30%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 56.27%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.875%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.55%56.25%56.27%57.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.711.7560.61%58.61%58.48%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.585%E +0.254%K +0.450%G +0.003%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-29 23:50
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.16%E -0.515%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-29 21:49
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.16%E -0.515%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 00:00
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 21:49
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 21:49
BetAnything2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 23:59
BetUS2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 21:49
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.53%E -0.875%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-29 22:19
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 21:30
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 22:20
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 21:29
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 00:08
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 21:30
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 21:29
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 22:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 21:29
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 21:19
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 21:29
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:59
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 00:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 21:59
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 21:39
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.23%E -1.93%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 00:09
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.53%E -0.875%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 22:39
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 21:36
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 00:00
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 00:09
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 22:40
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 22:40
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 22:19
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 21:20
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 21:20
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:40
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:39
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:39
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:40
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:39
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:39
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 22:39
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 21:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 00:09
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 00:09
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 00:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 00:09
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 00:09
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 00:09
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 21:48
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 21:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 00:09
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 22:39
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 22:39
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 22:39
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 22:39
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -6.85%E -3.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 00:09
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.72%E -3.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 00:09
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.53%E -0.875%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-05-30 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-05-30 00:10
ProphetX2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%0.5%2026-05-30 00:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-30 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-30 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-30 00:10
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-29 21:20
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-30 00:10
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-05-30 00:09