Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Dodgers

Início: 2026-05-05 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 3–8 Los Angeles Dodgers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 36.13%2.77odd justa
EV -0.652%
Vantagem -0.237%
Kelly -0.372%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.52%36.15%36.14%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.662.652.7539.22%37.59%37.74%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Previsão 63.87%1.57odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -3.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.96%63.85%63.86%65.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.491.491.5469.44%67.14%67.11%64.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 36.13%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 63.87%. Para Houston Astros (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.77. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.75, com valor esperado de -0.652%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.652%E -0.237%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-04 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.652%E -0.237%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-04 23:59
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.652%E -0.237%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-04 23:58
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.652%E -0.237%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-04 23:20
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.652%E -0.237%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.38%E -5.09%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 21:25
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -1.74%E -0.638%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.27%E -1.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 00:09
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.64%E -1.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-04 15:45
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-04 23:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:19
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 22:44
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:19
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:20
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:20
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:20
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:19
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:45
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:45
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:44
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:45
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -3.18%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 22:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -3.18%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 23:09
SportsBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:55
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 22:54
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-04 23:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 00:09
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 00:08
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 00:09
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-04 23:58
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:00
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:20
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:20
888sport🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 19:30
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.99%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -5.35%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 15:43
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.35%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 21:45
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.91%E -1.92%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 23:44
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 08:04
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:44
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 00:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 00:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -12.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 00:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.74%E -4.62%K -14.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 00:09
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.15%E -2.78%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 11:59
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.15%E -2.78%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 00:09
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 00:09
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.38%E -5.09%K -16.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 23:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.81I 35.59%NM 35.70%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.30%-0.3%2026-05-05 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-05 00:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-04 15:05
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-05 00:10
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-05-05 00:10
ProphetX2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-05-05 00:10
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%1.6%2026-05-05 00:10
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%2.0%2026-05-05 00:10