L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Dodgers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 00:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 3–8 Los Angeles Dodgers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 36.13%2.77cote équitable
EV -0.652%
Avantage -0.237%
Kelly -0.372%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.15%36.14%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.662.652.7539.22%37.59%37.74%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.87%1.57cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.96%63.85%63.86%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.491.491.5469.44%67.14%67.11%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.652%E -0.237%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-04 23:59
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.652%E -0.237%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-04 23:59
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.652%E -0.237%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-04 23:58
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.652%E -0.237%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-04 23:20
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.652%E -0.237%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.38%E -5.09%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 21:25
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -1.74%E -0.638%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.27%E -1.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 00:09
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.64%E -1.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-04 15:45
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-04 23:24
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:20
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:19
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 22:44
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:19
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:20
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:20
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:20
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:20
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:19
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:45
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:45
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:44
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.46%E -0.910%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:45
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -3.18%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 22:54
MyBookie.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -3.18%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 23:09
SportsBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:55
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 22:54
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-04 23:54
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 00:09
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 00:08
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 00:09
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-04 23:58
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:00
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:20
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:19
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:20
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:20
888sport2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 19:30
888sport (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 19:30
Mr Green (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 19:30
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.99%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 00:09
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -5.35%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 15:43
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.35%E -2.04%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 21:45
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.91%E -1.92%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 23:44
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 08:04
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:44
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 00:09
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 00:09
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -12.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 00:09
Dabble (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.07%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.74%E -4.62%K -14.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 00:09
Betsson2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.15%E -2.78%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 11:59
NordicBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.15%E -2.78%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.55%E -2.35%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:44
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 00:09
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 00:09
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.38%E -5.09%K -16.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 23:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.81I 35.59%NM 35.70%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.30%-0.3%2026-05-05 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-05 00:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-04 15:05
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-05 00:10
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-05-05 00:10
ProphetX2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-05-05 00:10
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%1.6%2026-05-05 00:10
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%2.0%2026-05-05 00:10