Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Angels

Início: 2026-08-21 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 3–18 Los Angeles Angels

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 62.98%1.59odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -3.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.25%63.02%62.96%63.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.521.511.5668.97%65.86%66.23%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Previsão 37.02%2.70odd justa
EV -0.056%
Vantagem -0.021%
Kelly -0.033%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.12%36.98%37.04%38.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.582.572.7040.82%38.83%38.91%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 62.98%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 37.02%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.702. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.700, com valor esperado de -0.056%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.033%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-20 22:49
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%EV -1.54%E -0.578%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-20 21:35
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -1.91%E -0.720%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-20 15:26
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -2.28%E -0.862%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-20 21:15
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.426%E -0.158%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-21 00:09
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%EV -1.54%E -0.578%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 00:00
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -3.39%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-21 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:04
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -1.54%E -0.578%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -1.54%E -0.578%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 00:09
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -2.28%E -0.862%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-21 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.02%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 00:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 23:49
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 00:09
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -2.28%E -0.862%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 23:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 11:29
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 13:24
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 21:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.26%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 22:10
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.26%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 00:09
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.26%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.50%E -1.74%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 00:08
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.26%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 21:15
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.26%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 11:29
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.87%E -1.89%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 00:09
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.87%E -1.89%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.24%E -2.05%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 11:29
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:10
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:09
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:09
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:09
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.91%E -0.720%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 00:08
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.02%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.02%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 00:09
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 23:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 21:54
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.13%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 21:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 18:05
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 21:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 00:10
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 21:44
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 21:20
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 00:03
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.78%E -4.58%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%EV -8.94%E -3.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-20 23:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.41%E -5.04%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 21:24
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -5.98%K -19.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 00:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.34%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.66%-0.1%2026-08-21 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-08-21 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-08-21 00:10
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-21 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-08-21 00:10
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-21 00:00
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-20 21:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-20 18:45
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-08-21 00:10
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-08-21 00:10