Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Angels

Inicio: 2026-08-21 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 3–18 Los Angeles Angels

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 62.98%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -3.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%63.02%62.96%63.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.521.511.5668.97%65.86%66.23%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 37.02%2.70momio equitativo
EV -0.056%
Ventaja -0.021%
Kelly -0.033%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.12%36.98%37.04%38.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.582.572.7040.82%38.83%38.91%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Houston Astros (Local): 62.98%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 37.02%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.702. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.700, con un valor esperado de -0.056%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.033%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-20 22:49
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%EV -1.54%E -0.578%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-20 21:35
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -1.91%E -0.720%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-20 15:26
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.75%E -1.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -2.28%E -0.862%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-20 21:15
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.426%E -0.158%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-21 00:09
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%EV -1.54%E -0.578%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 00:00
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -3.39%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-21 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:04
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -1.54%E -0.578%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -1.54%E -0.578%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 00:09
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -2.28%E -0.862%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-21 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.02%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 00:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 23:49
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 00:09
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -2.28%E -0.862%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 23:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 11:29
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 13:24
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 21:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.63%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.26%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 22:10
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.26%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 00:09
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.26%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.50%E -1.74%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 00:08
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.26%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 21:15
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.26%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 11:29
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.87%E -1.89%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 00:09
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.87%E -1.89%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.24%E -2.05%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 11:29
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:10
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:09
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:09
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.89%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 00:09
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.91%E -0.720%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 00:08
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.02%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.02%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 00:09
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 23:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 21:54
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.13%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 21:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 18:05
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 21:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 00:10
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 21:44
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 21:20
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 00:03
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.52%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.78%E -4.58%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%EV -8.94%E -3.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-20 23:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.41%E -5.04%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 21:24
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -5.98%K -19.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.34%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.66%-0.1%2026-08-21 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-08-21 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-08-21 00:10
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-21 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-08-21 00:10
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-21 00:00
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-20 21:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-20 18:45
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-08-21 00:10
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-08-21 00:10