Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 7–6 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 60.15%1.66fair odd
EV -0.745%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%60.15%60.20%62.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.6566.67%63.44%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 39.85%2.51fair odd
EV +0.809%
Edge +0.320%
Kelly +0.529%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.84%39.85%39.80%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.452.5344.44%41.26%40.82%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 60.15%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 39.85%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.809%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -7.36%E -4.78%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV +0.809%E +0.320%K +0.529%G +0.004%4.5%2026-04-15 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.387%E -0.155%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.387%E -0.155%K -0.258%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.387%E -0.155%K -0.258%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 00:10
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.387%E -0.155%K -0.258%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 00:09
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.387%E -0.155%K -0.258%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 00:09
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.387%E -0.155%K -0.258%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 00:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -0.785%E -0.315%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 00:09
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.18%E -0.477%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 00:10
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.18%E -0.477%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.18%E -0.477%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.18%E -0.477%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 00:10
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.18%E -0.477%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 00:10
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.18%E -0.477%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.18%E -0.477%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.18%E -0.477%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 00:09
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 00:10
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 00:10
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 00:08
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 00:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 00:09
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.38%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 00:10
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.57%E -1.48%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-15 00:09
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.57%E -1.48%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.57%E -1.48%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 00:09
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.57%E -1.48%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 00:08
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.745%E -0.451%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 23:58
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -1.35%E -0.821%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-15 00:09
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 00:09
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 00:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 00:09
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 00:09
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 00:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 00:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 00:09
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 00:10
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 00:10
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.96%E -2.53%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 00:07
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.95%E -1.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 00:09
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 00:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.77%E -6.51%K -19.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-15 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.76%E -2.89%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 00:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 00:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 00:09
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.75%E -2.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%-0.2%2026-04-15 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-15 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-15 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-15 00:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-15 00:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-04-15 00:10
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-04-15 00:10
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-04-15 00:10
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 60.66%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.34%6.4%2026-04-15 00:10