Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 6–3 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 54.86%1.82fair odd
EV +0.396%
Edge +0.217%
Kelly +0.477%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.53%54.91%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.741.8360.24%57.31%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 45.14%2.22fair odd
EV -0.695%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.579%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%45.47%45.09%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.122.2051.28%47.37%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 54.86%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 45.14%. For Houston Astros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.396%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV +0.396%E +0.217%K +0.477%G +0.002%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -8.82%E -4.37%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 00:10
ReBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -0.152%E -0.084%K -0.186%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -10.63%E -5.37%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.25%E -0.694%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.25%E -0.694%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.72%E -4.86%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.25%E -0.694%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.72%E -4.86%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.25%E -0.694%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.98%E -6.14%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:05
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.25%E -0.694%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.98%E -6.14%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:04
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -1.80%E -1.00%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -1.60%E -0.733%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-31 20:15
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.80%E -1.00%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.05%E -0.944%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-01 00:10
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.80%E -1.00%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-31 23:58
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.35%E -1.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.15%E -0.523%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-01 00:05
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.35%E -1.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.60%E -0.733%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-31 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.35%E -1.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.05%E -0.944%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.35%E -1.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.05%E -0.944%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -2.35%E -1.32%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -10.63%E -5.37%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 00:10
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.695%E -0.316%K -0.579%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 00:05
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.60%E -0.733%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-01 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -4.76%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 23:58
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.21%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.21%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.47%E -3.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 20:40
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.47%E -3.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 20:40
theScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 12:30
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.99%E -2.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.60%E -0.733%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.99%E -2.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 00:10
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.99%E -2.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 13:24
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.99%E -2.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.21%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.99%E -2.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.21%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 19:29
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.40%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 00:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.40%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 00:10
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.40%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 00:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.21%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 23:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.21%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 20:39
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.76%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.76%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.21%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 11:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.21%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 22:34
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.21%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 11:24
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.47%E -3.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.47%E -3.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 00:10
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.47%E -3.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 00:10
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:10
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.40%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 00:10
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.31%E -2.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.31%E -2.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.21%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.21%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:59
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.19%E -3.62%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.19%E -3.62%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.19%E -3.62%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:09
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.19%E -3.62%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:08
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.19%E -3.62%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.40%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.19%E -3.62%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.31%E -2.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.74%E -3.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.74%E -3.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.31%E -2.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.74%E -3.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.31%E -2.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.74%E -3.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.21%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 17:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -6.74%E -3.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -7.92%E -3.88%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 00:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.83%E -4.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -8.93%E -5.38%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -6.56%E -3.17%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-09-01 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-09-01 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-09-01 00:10
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67%0.4%2026-09-01 00:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-31 22:20
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-31 21:05
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-01 00:10
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-09-01 00:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-09-01 00:10
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%2.7%2026-08-31 23:50