Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 2–6 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 47.86%2.09fair odd
EV +0.496%
Edge +0.236%
Kelly +0.451%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%47.82%47.83%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.012.002.1053.19%49.76%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 52.14%1.92fair odd
EV -0.925%
Edge -0.487%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.18%52.17%54.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.831.9058.82%55.12%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 47.86%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 52.14%. For Houston Astros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.496%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.496%E +0.236%K +0.451%G +0.002%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.496%E +0.236%K +0.451%G +0.002%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.496%E +0.236%K +0.451%G +0.002%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 09:29
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.496%E +0.236%K +0.451%G +0.002%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.461%E -0.222%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.23%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 09:30
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.461%E -0.222%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.23%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 09:29
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.461%E -0.222%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.23%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 09:29
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.461%E -0.222%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.23%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.461%E -0.222%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.23%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 09:30
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.461%E -0.222%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.23%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 09:30
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.461%E -0.222%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 09:30
GTbets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.42%E -0.688%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-17 19:50
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.42%E -0.688%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-17 23:45
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.90%E -0.925%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.97%E -1.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-18 14:35
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.90%E -0.925%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.49%E -1.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-18 14:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.90%E -0.925%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-17 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.90%E -0.925%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-17 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -1.90%E -0.925%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.79%E -5.66%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -1.90%E -0.925%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.79%E -5.66%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 09:30
BetAnything🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -2.85%E -1.41%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-18 14:27
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.925%E -0.487%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-18 03:55
Caesars🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-17 21:04
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 00:40
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 07:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 19:15
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 12:19
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 03:30
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 06:20
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 06:19
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 22:45
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 22:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 00:15
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 06:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 11:04
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 07:00
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 04:25
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 19:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 02:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 02:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 02:29
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.35%E -6.68%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 09:29
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.01%E -1.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 06:25
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 07:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 07:00
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:25
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 06:25
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 03:10
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 04:15
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 04:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 02:09
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.72%E -2.91%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.72%E -2.91%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.62%E -3.10%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 02:08
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.20%E -3.17%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 03:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 03:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 12:23
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 22:44
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.12%E -4.23%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.23%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 02:09
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.07%E -4.78%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.925%E -0.487%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.92%EV -10.03%E -5.34%K -11.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.08%EV -9.79%E -5.66%K -13.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%0.2%2026-09-18 14:30
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-09-18 15:26
ProphetX◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-18 14:30
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-18 01:10
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-17 22:10
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-09-18 14:30