Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 2.23
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 54.89%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 45.11%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.599%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.95%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.599%E +0.268%K +0.487%G +0.003% | 2.0% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.95%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.304%E -0.137%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.95%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.304%E -0.137%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.755%E -0.343%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-19 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.30%E -1.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.21%E -0.551%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-19 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.40%E -1.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.21%E -0.551%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.30%E -1.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.11%E -0.971%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-19 15:43 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.56%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.20%E -0.667%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-19 14:17 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.95%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 14:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.14%E -3.59%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.14%E -3.59%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.69%E -3.93%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.01%E -1.40%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.95%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.46%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.46%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 22:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.46%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 19:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.46%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.46%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 22:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.46%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 22:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.46%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 22:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.14%E -3.59%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.46%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.30%E -1.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.91%E -1.84%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.40%E -1.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.91%E -1.84%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 21:28 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.95%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.91%E -1.84%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 17:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.91%E -1.84%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.81%E -2.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.81%E -2.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.30%E -1.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.85%E -1.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.95%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-19 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.59%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 23:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.69%E -3.93%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.69%E -3.93%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.27%E -2.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -8.89%E -5.35%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -6.62%E -3.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.85%E -1.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.95%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 22:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.95%E -2.25%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 22:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.49%E -2.58%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.04%E -2.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 20:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.69%E -3.93%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.24%E -4.28%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 22:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.85%E -1.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.78%E -4.89%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.43%E -5.72%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -10.23%E -5.14%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-19 23:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55% | 0.2% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55% | 0.2% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 23:03 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.2% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-09-19 22:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-09-19 23:09 |