Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.46
assuming max odds 3.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 67.96%; Athletics (Visit): 32.04%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.52%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%EV +2.52%E +0.789%K +1.15%G +0.029% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 06:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%EV +0.923%E +0.293%K +0.429%G +0.004% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -4.17%E -2.96%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV +0.923%E +0.293%K +0.429%G +0.004% | 2.7% | 2026-08-22 11:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.16%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.84%EV +0.602%E +0.192%K +0.281%G +0.002% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV +0.282%E +0.090%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 12:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV +0.282%E +0.090%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 12:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -4.17%E -2.96%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV +0.282%E +0.090%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.679%E -0.219%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -1.32%E -0.429%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-22 12:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -1.64%E -0.534%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.28%E -0.748%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.28%E -0.748%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.28%E -0.748%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%EV -2.60%E -0.856%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -0.777%E -0.532%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.17%E -2.96%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 06:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 23:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.57%E -5.57%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 22:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -5.16%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.53%E -3.98%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -5.81%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -4.17%E -2.96%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.17%E -2.96%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.57%E -5.57%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.57%E -5.57%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 23:03 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -7.41%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -7.41%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.69%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.69%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.69%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.57%E -5.57%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 23:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.49%E -5.00%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.61% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.39% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 22:45 |