Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 23:16 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 5–1 Texas Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 54.61%1.83fair odd
EV -0.066%
Edge -0.036%
Kelly -0.080%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.32%54.58%54.66%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.751.8360.24%57.08%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 45.39%2.20fair odd
EV -0.593%
Edge -0.271%
Kelly -0.498%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.42%45.34%46.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1950.00%47.69%47.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 54.61%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 45.39%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.831. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.830, with an expected value of -0.066%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.066%E -0.036%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.77%E -1.78%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-02 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.50%E -0.692%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 23:10
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.95%E -0.905%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 23:00
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 23:05
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.80%E -1.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.593%E -0.271%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-02 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.80%E -1.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.50%E -0.692%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.80%E -1.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.50%E -0.692%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -2.80%E -1.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.77%E -1.78%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.80%E -1.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.13%E -2.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 23:14
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 14:35
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 22:25
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.89%E -2.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 22:45
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.89%E -2.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 22:45
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.89%E -2.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 22:45
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.89%E -2.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 22:45
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.89%E -2.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.89%E -2.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 22:45
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.89%E -2.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.13%E -2.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.89%E -2.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.04%E -2.92%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.89%E -2.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.04%E -2.92%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 21:09
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.89%E -2.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.04%E -2.92%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 21:05
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -3.89%E -2.21%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -8.76%E -4.36%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.86%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 23:15
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:50
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:30
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:49
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.59%E -2.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.59%E -2.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.59%E -2.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.59%E -2.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.59%E -2.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 22:45
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.43%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 07:25
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 12:00
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.59%E -2.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 23:15
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:09
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 01:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:44
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 02:29
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.53%E -3.19%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 07:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 23:01
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -7.40%E -3.63%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 23:15
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.62%E -3.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.17%E -4.21%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:34
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.17%E -4.21%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 23:12
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.35%E -5.63%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-05-02 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-02 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-02 23:15
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-02 23:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-02 13:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-02 14:15
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-02 23:14
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-05-02 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-05-02 23:05
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-05-02 23:05