Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 17:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 61.74%1.62fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.759%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.20%61.75%61.70%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.77%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 38.26%2.61fair odd
EV -0.526%
Edge -0.202%
Kelly -0.329%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.25%38.30%39.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.362.502.502.6042.37%39.99%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 61.74%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 38.26%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.526%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.21%E -0.759%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.20%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-03 16:35
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -3.07%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.526%E -0.202%K -0.329%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-03 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.07%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.908%E -0.351%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.07%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.29%E -0.500%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-03 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.07%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.29%E -0.500%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-03 17:00
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.07%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 16:59
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.07%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 05:35
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.07%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 11:15
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.07%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.07%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.07%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 11:15
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.07%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 11:13
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.59%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -9.71%E -4.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.30%E -2.78%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.44%E -0.956%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.30%E -2.78%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.44%E -0.956%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 17:00
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.30%E -2.78%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.30%E -2.78%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.30%E -2.78%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.06%E -0.803%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 17:05
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.44%E -0.956%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 17:05
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.59%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 17:00
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:59
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:20
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:20
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:25
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.12%E -2.06%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:00
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.12%E -2.06%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 17:10
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.29%E -0.500%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 16:29
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 15:19
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 15:09
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 11:15
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 17:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.26%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 16:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.39%E -4.93%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.44%E -0.956%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 11:14
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.39%E -4.93%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.35%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 16:30
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.39%E -4.93%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 17:02
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-04-03 17:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-03 17:00
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-04-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-04-03 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-04-03 17:10
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-03 17:10
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-04-03 17:00
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-04-03 17:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-04-03 14:35
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%3.1%2026-04-03 17:10