Language:English
Detroit Tigers v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 52.17%1.92fair odd
EV -0.355%
Edge -0.186%
Kelly -0.390%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.13%52.09%52.16%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.831.9157.80%54.30%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 47.83%2.09fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.951%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%47.91%47.84%49.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.971.982.0554.05%50.71%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 52.17%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 47.83%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.355%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -0.355%E -0.186%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -0.355%E -0.186%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -0.355%E -0.186%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -0.355%E -0.186%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -0.355%E -0.186%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.40%E -0.740%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.38%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.40%E -0.740%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.38%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.40%E -0.740%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.38%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.40%E -0.740%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.38%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -1.40%E -0.740%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -4.82%E -2.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -1.40%E -0.740%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -1.40%E -0.740%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -1.40%E -0.740%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -1.40%E -0.740%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -1.40%E -0.740%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.95%E -0.951%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-26 16:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.95%E -0.951%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-26 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.64%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -9.60%E -5.08%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -9.60%E -5.08%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.49%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 16:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.49%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.01%E -2.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.38%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.01%E -2.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.82%E -2.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 17:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.01%E -2.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.91%E -1.43%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.38%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 14:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 14:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 14:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.82%E -2.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -11.51%E -6.22%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.78%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.05%E -2.78%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.57%E -3.08%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.57%E -3.08%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.25%E -3.19%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.09%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.09%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.25%E -3.19%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.09%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.09%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.09%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 16:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.09%E -3.39%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.14%E -4.01%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-26 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.66%E -4.33%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 14:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.08%EV -9.75%E -5.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.92%EV -10.08%E -5.36%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.27% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.73% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-09-26 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.5% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-26 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45% | 2.3% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |