The School of Odds

Detroit Tigers v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-10 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 52.92%1.89fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.95%52.87%52.89%53.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.801.8757%55%56%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 47.08%2.12fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.999%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.13%47.11%48.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.022.022.0852%50%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.04%E -0.554%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.02%E -1.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 02:09
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.08%E -0.999%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 01:10
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 01:10
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.55%E -1.23%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 01:10
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 02:29
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 02:30
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:54
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 01:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 02:29
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 02:09
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 02:30
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 02:29
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 02:05
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 23:10
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 02:25
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.96%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 01:30
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.96%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 02:04
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.96%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 02:04
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:59
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:59
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 02:04
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 02:00
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 02:00
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:24
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 01:29
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 01:09
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 01:59
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 02:04
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 02:04
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 02:00
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 02:00
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:29
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 02:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 22:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 22:54
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:10
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:09
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:10
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 01:07
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.27%E -2.94%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.96%E -1.94%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 01:30
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.27%E -2.94%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.90%E -2.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 02:34
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 01:33
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 01:30
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.33%E -3.57%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.49%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 02:14
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.33%E -3.57%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 01:30
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.33%E -3.57%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.26%E -3.68%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 01:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 01:29
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.92%E -4.55%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -7.73%E -3.94%K -8.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 01:30
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.92%E -4.55%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -8.67%E -4.47%K -9.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 01:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-09 23:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-09 23:05
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%2.0%2026-07-10 02:24
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%2.4%2026-07-10 02:30
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%5.9%2026-07-10 02:30
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-07-10 02:35