Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Philadelphia Phillies

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 10–2 Philadelphia Phillies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 52.08%1.92fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%51.98%52.16%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.831.8956.50%54.56%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 47.92%2.09fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.525%
Kelly +0.998%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.02%47.84%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.991.992.1152.63%50.26%50.25%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +1.11%E +0.525%K +0.998%G +0.011%2.0%2026-07-10 22:39
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.628%E +0.299%K +0.571%G +0.004%2.3%2026-07-10 22:39
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.628%E +0.299%K +0.571%G +0.004%2.3%2026-07-10 22:39
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.149%E +0.071%K +0.137%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-10 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.809%E -0.391%K -0.756%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 22:40
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.77%E -0.862%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 22:29
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.77%E -0.862%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 15:15
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.77%E -0.862%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:29
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.57%E -0.828%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 22:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.21%E -1.59%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 15:05
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.68%E -1.83%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 22:39
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 22:15
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 15:05
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 13:49
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 15:59
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 15:09
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:39
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:38
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 15:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:30
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 15:10
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.73%E -3.17%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 15:04
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 14:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 14:24
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.64%E -2.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 22:39
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.64%E -2.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 15:59
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:09
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:10
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:10
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:29
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:15
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:15
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:14
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:15
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:15
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:15
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:14
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.17%E -2.27%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:15
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.17%E -2.27%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:15
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 22:25
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 21:15
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:39
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:15
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:15
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 20:14
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:32
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.29%E -4.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-10 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.17%E -2.27%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -8.00%E -4.17%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 22:40
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 22:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.96%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 22:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-10 22:32
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-10 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-10 22:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-10 22:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-10 22:32
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-10 22:05
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-10 22:39
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%2.0%2026-07-10 22:40
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-07-10 22:40
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-07-10 22:25