A Escola das Odds

Detroit Tigers v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-04-10 22:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 54.73%1.83odd justa
EV -0.386%
Vantagem -0.212%
Kelly -0.471%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%54.69%54.79%56.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.731.731.8259.88%57.75%57.80%54.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 45.27%2.21odd justa
EV +0.946%
Vantagem +0.424%
Kelly +0.769%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%45.31%45.21%46.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.132.142.2350.00%46.91%46.73%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.946%E +0.424%K +0.769%G +0.007%3.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.412%E -0.187%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.412%E -0.187%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 22:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.412%E -0.187%K -0.343%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 13:59
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:30
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:30
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:35
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:30
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:35
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:35
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.03%E -1.13%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.77%E -0.816%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-10 22:39
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.48%E -0.823%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.22%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-10 21:45
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.22%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 20:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.22%E -2.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 20:15
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 20:17
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 21:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 20:20
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 20:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 20:15
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.48%E -0.823%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.13%E -1.46%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 22:35
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.13%E -1.46%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 20:15
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -0.386%E -0.212%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-10 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.67%E -2.09%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 22:28
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.22%E -2.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 22:28
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 22:30
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 21:49
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:29
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.386%E -0.212%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -4.49%E -2.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 22:20
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.386%E -0.212%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -4.49%E -2.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 22:20
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 20:25
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:30
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 20:19
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:30
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 22:30
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 20:15
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.67%E -2.09%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.39%E -2.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:30
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.67%E -2.09%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.39%E -2.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 21:45
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.39%E -2.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.67%E -2.09%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.20%E -3.51%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.20%E -3.51%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.20%E -3.51%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.20%E -3.51%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.22%E -2.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.47%E -4.73%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 22:28
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.47%E -4.73%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-10 22:40
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-10 22:38
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-04-10 22:40
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-04-10 20:20
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-04-10 22:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-04-10 22:40