L’École des cotes

Detroit Tigers v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 22:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prévision 54.73%1.83cote équitable
EV -0.386%
Avantage -0.212%
Kelly -0.471%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.33%54.69%54.79%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.731.731.8259.88%57.75%57.80%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.27%2.21cote équitable
EV +0.946%
Avantage +0.424%
Kelly +0.769%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%45.31%45.21%46.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.142.2350.00%46.91%46.73%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.946%E +0.424%K +0.769%G +0.007%3.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.412%E -0.187%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.412%E -0.187%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 22:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.412%E -0.187%K -0.343%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 13:59
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:30
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:30
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:35
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:30
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:35
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:35
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.05%E -4.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.32%E -0.604%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:35
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.03%E -1.13%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.77%E -0.816%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-10 22:39
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.48%E -0.823%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.22%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-10 21:45
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.22%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 20:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.22%E -2.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 20:15
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 20:17
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 21:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 20:20
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 20:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.60%E -5.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.68%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 20:15
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.48%E -0.823%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.13%E -1.46%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 22:35
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.13%E -1.46%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 20:15
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -0.386%E -0.212%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-10 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.67%E -2.09%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 22:28
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.22%E -2.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 22:28
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 22:30
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 21:49
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:29
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.03%E -1.90%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.386%E -0.212%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -4.49%E -2.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 22:20
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.386%E -0.212%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -4.49%E -2.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 22:20
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 20:25
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 22:30
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.12%E -1.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 20:19
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:30
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.86%E -3.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 22:30
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.41%E -3.75%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.95%E -4.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.94%E -2.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 20:15
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.67%E -2.09%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.39%E -2.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:30
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.67%E -2.09%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.39%E -2.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 21:45
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.39%E -2.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.67%E -2.09%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.20%E -3.51%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.20%E -3.51%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.20%E -3.51%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.31%E -3.07%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.20%E -3.51%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.22%E -2.41%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.47%E -4.73%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 22:28
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.77%E -2.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.47%E -4.73%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-10 22:40
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-10 22:38
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-04-10 22:40
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-04-10 20:20
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-04-10 22:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-04-10 22:40