Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Los Angeles Dodgers

Início: 2026-08-30 18:37 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 1–6 Los Angeles Dodgers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 41.79%2.39odd justa
EV +0.305%
Vantagem +0.127%
Kelly +0.218%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.55%41.85%41.77%43.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.312.322.4047.62%43.38%43.10%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Previsão 58.21%1.72odd justa
EV -0.467%
Vantagem -0.273%
Kelly -0.658%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.76%58.15%58.23%60.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.631.621.7164.10%61.44%61.73%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 41.79%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 58.21%. Para Detroit Tigers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.39. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.305%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +0.305%E +0.127%K +0.218%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-30 16:45
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.305%E +0.127%K +0.218%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.305%E +0.127%K +0.218%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:45
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -0.531%E -0.223%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-30 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -0.949%E -0.400%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.949%E -0.400%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:10
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.949%E -0.400%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:09
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.37%E -0.579%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-30 18:35
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.37%E -0.579%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-30 18:35
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.37%E -0.579%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-30 17:35
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.37%E -0.579%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.78%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.78%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 18:10
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.78%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 18:10
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.78%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.78%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 18:10
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.78%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.20%E -0.941%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.20%E -0.941%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.63%E -0.965%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:35
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:30
Caesars🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -3.46%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -0.467%E -0.273%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-30 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.46%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 16:39
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.12%E -3.14%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:49
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:49
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 17:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:49
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.12%E -3.14%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.03%E -5.08%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.03%E -5.08%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.20%E -5.90%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.13%E -2.26%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 18:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:35
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.54%E -2.77%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.89%E -4.08%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 18:25
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.31%E -4.29%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -5.12%E -3.14%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -12.23%E -5.83%K -11.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-08-30 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-30 18:35
ProphetX◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-30 18:35
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-30 15:20
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-08-30 18:30
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-08-30 18:35