Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Detroit Tigers v Los Angeles Dodgers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 18:37 UTC

Score final : Detroit Tigers 1–6 Los Angeles Dodgers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prévision 41.79%2.39cote équitable
EV +0.305%
Avantage +0.127%
Kelly +0.218%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.55%41.85%41.77%43.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.312.322.4047.62%43.38%43.10%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.21%1.72cote équitable
EV -0.467%
Avantage -0.273%
Kelly -0.658%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.76%58.15%58.23%60.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.631.621.7164.10%61.44%61.73%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Detroit Tigers (Local) : 41.79% ; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur) : 58.21%. Pour Detroit Tigers (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.39. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.40, soit une espérance positive de +0.305%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +0.305%E +0.127%K +0.218%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-30 16:45
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +0.305%E +0.127%K +0.218%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.305%E +0.127%K +0.218%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:45
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -0.531%E -0.223%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-30 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -0.949%E -0.400%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.949%E -0.400%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:10
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.949%E -0.400%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:09
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.37%E -0.579%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-30 18:35
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.37%E -0.579%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-30 18:35
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.37%E -0.579%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-30 17:35
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.37%E -0.579%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.78%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.78%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 18:10
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.78%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 18:10
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.78%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.78%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 18:10
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.78%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.20%E -0.941%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.20%E -0.941%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.63%E -0.965%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:35
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.62%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:30
Caesars🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -3.46%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -0.467%E -0.273%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-30 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.46%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 16:39
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.12%E -3.14%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 17:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:49
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:49
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 17:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:49
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.12%E -3.14%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.03%E -5.08%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.03%E -5.08%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.20%E -5.90%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.13%E -2.26%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 18:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:35
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.54%E -2.77%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.89%E -4.08%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 18:25
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.31%E -4.29%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -5.12%E -3.14%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -12.23%E -5.83%K -11.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-08-30 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-30 18:35
ProphetX◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-30 18:35
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-30 15:20
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-08-30 18:30
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-08-30 18:35