Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Houston Astros

Kickoff: 2026-06-27 17:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 6–8 Houston Astros

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 55.37%1.81fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.46%55.27%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.7760.61%57.84%57.64%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 44.63%2.24fair odd
EV +0.859%
Edge +0.380%
Kelly +0.682%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.54%44.73%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.142.142.2648.54%46.77%46.73%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 55.37%; Houston Astros (Visit): 44.63%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.859%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.859%E +0.380%K +0.682%G +0.006%1.7%2026-06-27 17:00
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.413%E +0.183%K +0.330%G +0.001%1.9%2026-06-27 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.926%E -0.417%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 17:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.926%E -0.417%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.99%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.82%E -0.827%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-27 16:20
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.82%E -0.827%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-27 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.82%E -0.827%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.64%E -5.23%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.82%E -0.827%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-27 14:59
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.99%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-27 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.54%E -1.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 16:59
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-27 16:59
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.42%E -3.80%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.16%E -1.46%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 16:19
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-27 07:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 17:00
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 11:19
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 11:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 15:19
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 17:10
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 17:10
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 16:09
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 16:59
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.53%E -4.51%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -1.99%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -4.50%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-27 16:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.50%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 15:49
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.50%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.50%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 15:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 15:59
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 16:09
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 16:20
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.99%E -1.12%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 16:10
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 16:00
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 16:00
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 15:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 16:00
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 15:59
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 14:30
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 15:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 15:59
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 15:59
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 04:09
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 07:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 07:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 15:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-27 17:00
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-27 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 15:00
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.97%E -4.15%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.62%E -3.68%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 16:48
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -8.07%E -3.92%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 55.67%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.33%-0.2%2026-06-27 17:09
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-27 16:57
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-27 17:00
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-06-27 17:00
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-27 16:40
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-06-27 17:10
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-06-27 17:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-27 16:10