Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 2–3 Cleveland Guardians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 47.95%2.09fair odd
EV -0.747%
Edge -0.361%
Kelly -0.698%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.95%47.89%49.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.921.991.982.0752.08%50.34%50.51%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 52.05%1.92fair odd
EV -0.581%
Edge -0.304%
Kelly -0.639%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.65%52.05%52.11%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.841.851.9156.18%54.36%54.20%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 47.95%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 52.05%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.581%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.747%E -0.361%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 13:19
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.71%E -0.832%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 21:10
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.71%E -0.832%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 21:30
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.71%E -0.832%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 13:19
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.19%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.62%E -0.858%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-20 20:10
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.19%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.14%E -1.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-20 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.19%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.19%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 21:30
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.19%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.27%E -2.89%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 12:09
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.14%E -1.56%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.62%E -0.858%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 22:39
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.14%E -1.56%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 12:09
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 19:39
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 21:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 21:30
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:09
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 21:10
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 14:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 19:50
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.27%E -2.89%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 17:09
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 14:49
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 14:49
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 22:39
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 13:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.58%E -2.30%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.18%E -1.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 19:39
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.58%E -2.30%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.06%E -2.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 20:40
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.06%E -2.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.06%E -2.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 21:30
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.06%E -2.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:39
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 20:00
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.06%E -2.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.35%E -4.13%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.54%E -2.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.581%E -0.304%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.581%E -0.304%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:20
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:20
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.75%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.75%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.75%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 19:39
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 20:20
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.46%E -3.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 22:30
DraftKings🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.94%E -4.14%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-05-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-05-20 22:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-20 22:30
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-20 22:40
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Novig2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%2.5%2026-05-20 22:40
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-05-20 22:39
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-05-20 22:40
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%3.6%2026-05-20 22:40