Language:English
Detroit Tigers v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 53.56%1.87fair odd
EV +0.155%
Edge +0.083%
Kelly +0.179%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.57%53.59%53.43%54.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.791.8757.80%55.95%55.87%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 46.44%2.15fair odd
EV +0.777%
Edge +0.358%
Kelly +0.664%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.20%46.41%46.57%48.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.042.052.1750.76%48.90%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 53.56%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 46.44%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.777%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -4.13%E -2.31%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.777%E +0.358%K +0.664%G +0.005% | 1.9% | 2026-05-21 17:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -4.13%E -2.31%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV +0.312%E +0.145%K +0.269%G +0.001% | 2.2% | 2026-05-21 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.13%E -2.31%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.152%E -0.071%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.13%E -2.31%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.152%E -0.071%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.13%E -2.31%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.616%E -0.288%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-21 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.99%E -1.09%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.55%E -0.729%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.55%E -0.729%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 17:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 17:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 17:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.81%E -3.91%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.916%E -0.495%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.13%E -2.31%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.74%E -3.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.74%E -3.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.87%E -1.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.06%E -1.69%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.33%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.74%E -3.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.33%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV +0.155%E +0.083%K +0.179%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.66%E -2.62%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.66%E -2.62%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.74%E -3.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.66%E -2.62%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.72%E -2.82%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.74%E -3.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.72%E -2.82%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 17:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 07:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.66%E -2.62%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.74%E -3.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.81%E -3.91%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -3.06%E -1.69%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -3.06%E -1.69%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -0.916%E -0.495%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -0.916%E -0.495%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -0.916%E -0.495%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.06%E -1.69%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.06%E -1.69%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 0.1% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 0.1% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.5% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31% | 2.3% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-05-21 17:09 |