Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-08-13 17:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 3–0 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 48.33%2.07odd justa
EV +0.052%
Vantagem +0.025%
Kelly +0.049%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.67%48.24%48.41%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.911.982.002.0752.36%50.44%50.00%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 51.67%1.94odd justa
EV -0.285%
Vantagem -0.148%
Kelly -0.307%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.76%51.59%53.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.841.831.9357.14%54.29%54.64%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 48.33%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 51.67%. Para Detroit Tigers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.069. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.070, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.052%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV +0.052%E +0.025%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-13 16:39
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.914%E -0.446%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 17:04
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -1.88%E -0.927%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.84%E -0.966%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-13 16:39
BetAnything🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.88%E -0.927%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.90%E -2.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-13 17:09
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -1.84%E -0.966%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:09
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:09
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:09
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:09
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:09
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 17:09
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 16:59
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.52%E -4.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 17:09
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.36%E -1.17%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.52%E -4.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 17:09
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%EV -2.85%E -1.42%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%EV -0.285%E -0.148%K -0.307%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-13 17:09
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -0.285%E -0.148%K -0.307%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-13 15:24
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.32%E -0.690%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.32%E -0.690%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.32%E -0.690%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 16:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.32%E -0.690%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 15:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 14:49
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 15:25
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 14:54
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.49%E -3.58%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 17:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 17:09
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.04%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 17:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -9.07%E -5.15%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 17:09
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.59%E -5.48%K -12.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 16:59
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.59%E -5.48%K -12.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 16:59
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.81%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.802%E -0.418%K -0.872%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 17:09
Caesars🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.285%E -0.148%K -0.307%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.52%E -4.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 17:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.30%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.52%E -4.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 17:04
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.78%E -2.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 16:59
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.78%E -2.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 17:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.26%E -2.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.87%E -1.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.26%E -2.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 16:59
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.26%E -2.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 15:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -5.26%E -2.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -6.49%E -3.58%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.84%E -0.966%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 15:24
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.39%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 16:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 16:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:09
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 15:24
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.23%E -3.21%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.39%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.23%E -3.21%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.39%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:09
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.23%E -3.21%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.90%E -2.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.71%E -3.48%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.71%E -3.48%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -8.04%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.71%E -3.48%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -9.59%E -5.48%K -12.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 17:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.32%E -0.690%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 17:04
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.32%E -0.690%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.32%E -0.690%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 17:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 15:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.13%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.87%-0.1%2026-08-13 17:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-08-13 17:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-08-13 17:09
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-08-13 17:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-08-13 16:55
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-13 17:04
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-13 17:09
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-13 15:19
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-08-13 17:09