Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Cleveland Guardians

2026-08-13 17:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 47.89%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.892%
Kelly -1.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%47.90%47.78%48.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.911.991.992.0552.36%50.37%50.25%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 52.11%1.92momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.799%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%52.10%52.22%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.781.841.831.8956.18%54.45%54.64%52.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Detroit Tigers (Local): 47.89%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 52.11%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.92. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.89, con un valor esperado de -1.51%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.03%E -1.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-13 01:25
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 21:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 20:09
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.83%E -0.892%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-13 01:35
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.51%E -0.799%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 21:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.51%E -0.799%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.51%E -0.799%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 21:50
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.51%E -0.799%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 23:54
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.27%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 00:00
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.74%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 00:14
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 22:00
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 21:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 18:55
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 00:50
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 19:50
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 00:24
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:20
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 23:14
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 18:55
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 19:14
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.70%E -2.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.11%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.70%E -2.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.70%E -2.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:25
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:25
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:25
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:24
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:25
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:25
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 01:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.14%E -3.13%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 21:58
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 01:25
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 21:58
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.05%E -4.19%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.05%E -4.19%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 21:59
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 01:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%0.2%2026-08-13 01:40
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-13 00:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-12 21:55
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-08-13 01:35
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-08-13 01:25
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%7.9%2026-08-13 01:45

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