Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-08-14 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 5–9 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 55.18%1.81odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.687%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.66%55.15%55.21%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.731.731.7960.61%57.76%57.80%55.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 44.82%2.23odd justa
EV +0.400%
Vantagem +0.178%
Kelly +0.322%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.85%44.79%46.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.132.122.2448.78%46.91%47.17%44.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 55.18%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 44.82%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.23. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.24, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.400%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV +0.400%E +0.178%K +0.322%G +0.001%1.8%2026-08-14 19:54
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 22:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 14:50
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 22:33
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 19:54
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.84%E -0.841%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-14 21:59
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.84%E -0.841%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 21:54
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 20:43
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.23%E -0.687%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-14 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:24
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:24
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:25
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:24
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:25
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 19:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 14:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 20:04
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 22:39
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 19:54
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:24
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 22:38
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:38
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:54
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:19
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:14
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 22:24
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:39
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:38
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 19:54
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 19:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.77%E -3.26%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 22:39
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.77%E -3.26%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 22:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.22%E -3.49%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 22:13
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:29
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 22:34
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 22:33
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 22:39
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 20:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-14 14:49
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-14 20:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-14 22:35
ProphetX◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-14 22:39
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-14 22:00
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-08-14 22:39