Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-08-14 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 5–9 Chicago White Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 55.18%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.687%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%55.15%55.21%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.731.7960.61%57.76%57.80%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 44.82%2.23momio equitativo
EV +0.400%
Ventaja +0.178%
Kelly +0.322%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.85%44.79%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.132.122.2448.78%46.91%47.17%44.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Detroit Tigers (Local): 55.18%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 44.82%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.23. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.24, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.400%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV +0.400%E +0.178%K +0.322%G +0.001%1.8%2026-08-14 19:54
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 22:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 14:50
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 22:33
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.39%E -0.633%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 19:54
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.84%E -0.841%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-14 21:59
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.84%E -0.841%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 21:54
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 20:43
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.23%E -0.687%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-14 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.78%E -1.00%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:24
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:24
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:25
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:24
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:25
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 19:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 14:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 20:04
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 22:39
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 19:54
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:24
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 22:38
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:38
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:54
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:19
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:14
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 22:24
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:39
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:38
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 19:54
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 19:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.77%E -3.26%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 22:39
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.77%E -3.26%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 22:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.22%E -3.49%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 22:13
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:29
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 22:34
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 22:33
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 22:39
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 20:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-14 14:49
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-14 20:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-14 22:35
ProphetX◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-14 22:39
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-14 22:39
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-14 22:00
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-08-14 22:39