The School of Odds

Detroit Tigers v Athletics

2026-07-07 22:41 — MLB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Option 1: Detroit Tigers (Local)

Odds
1.4668.49%Min
1.5265.74%Mean
1.5266.01%Median
1.5863.29%Max
Consensus probabilities
61.46%1.627Min
63.41%1.577Max
62.41%1.602Mean
62.58%1.598Median
62.49%1.600IQM
62.41%1.602Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.58 under the IQM model: 62.49%

EV -1.26%Edge -0.796%Kelly -2.17%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Athletics (Visit)

Odds
2.3542.55%Min
2.5439.39%Mean
2.5539.22%Median
2.6038.46%Max
Consensus probabilities
36.59%2.733Min
38.54%2.595Max
37.59%2.661Mean
37.42%2.672Median
37.51%2.666IQM
37.59%2.661Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.60 under the IQM model: 37.51%

EV -2.49%Edge -0.956%Kelly -1.55%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDetroit Tigers (Local) ▼Athletics (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.58I 63.29% NM 62.11%EV -1.26% E -0.796% K -2.17% G +0.000%2.59I 38.61% NM 37.89%EV -2.86% E -1.10% K -1.80% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 18:35
GTbets1.58I 63.29% NM 61.93%EV -1.26% E -0.796% K -2.17% G +0.000%2.57I 38.91% NM 38.07%EV -3.61% E -1.41% K -2.30% G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-06 17:44
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29% NM 61.74%EV -1.26% E -0.796% K -2.17% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 38.26%EV -4.36% E -1.71% K -2.81% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 17:35
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29% NM 61.74%EV -1.26% E -0.796% K -2.17% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 38.26%EV -4.36% E -1.71% K -2.81% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 17:35
BetUS1.58I 63.29% NM 61.46%EV -1.26% E -0.796% K -2.17% G +0.000%2.52I 39.68% NM 38.54%EV -5.49% E -2.18% K -3.61% G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-06 19:29
Fanatics1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -2.51% E -1.61% K -4.48% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV -6.24% E -2.49% K -4.16% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 17:35
FanDuel1.53I 65.36% NM 62.95%EV -4.38% E -2.86% K -8.27% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 37.05%EV -2.49% E -0.956% K -1.55% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36% NM 62.95%EV -4.38% E -2.86% K -8.27% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 37.05%EV -2.49% E -0.956% K -1.55% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 17:35
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36% NM 62.95%EV -4.38% E -2.86% K -8.27% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 37.05%EV -2.49% E -0.956% K -1.55% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 18:24
Caesars1.53I 65.36% NM 62.77%EV -4.38% E -2.86% K -8.27% G +0.000%2.58I 38.76% NM 37.23%EV -3.24% E -1.25% K -2.05% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 20:30
Fliff1.53I 65.36% NM 62.50%EV -4.38% E -2.86% K -8.27% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.50%EV -4.36% E -1.71% K -2.81% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79% NM 62.65%EV -5.01% E -3.29% K -9.63% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.35%EV -4.36% E -1.71% K -2.81% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 17:45
PlayUp1.52I 65.79% NM 62.65%EV -5.01% E -3.29% K -9.63% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.35%EV -4.36% E -1.71% K -2.81% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 17:39
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79% NM 62.19%EV -5.01% E -3.29% K -9.63% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.81%EV -6.24% E -2.49% K -4.16% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 20:25
Bet Right1.51I 66.23% NM 63.26%EV -5.63% E -3.73% K -11.04% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.74%EV -2.49% E -0.956% K -1.55% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:44
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23% NM 62.81%EV -5.63% E -3.73% K -11.04% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.19%EV -4.36% E -1.71% K -2.81% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23% NM 62.34%EV -5.63% E -3.73% K -11.04% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.66%EV -6.24% E -2.49% K -4.16% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -6.26% E -4.17% K -12.52% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -2.49% E -0.956% K -1.55% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 18:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -6.26% E -4.17% K -12.52% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -4.36% E -1.71% K -2.81% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:35
888sport1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -6.26% E -4.17% K -12.52% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -4.36% E -1.71% K -2.81% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:44
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -6.26% E -4.17% K -12.52% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -4.36% E -1.71% K -2.81% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:45
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -6.26% E -4.17% K -12.52% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -4.36% E -1.71% K -2.81% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:45
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -6.26% E -4.17% K -12.52% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -6.24% E -2.49% K -4.16% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 17:54
SportsBet1.49I 67.11% NM 63.30%EV -6.88% E -4.62% K -14.05% G +0.000%2.57I 38.91% NM 36.70%EV -3.61% E -1.41% K -2.30% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 17:35
ReBet1.49I 67.11% NM 62.18%EV -6.88% E -4.62% K -14.05% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.82%EV -8.11% E -3.31% K -5.59% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 17:44
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57% NM 63.28%EV -7.51% E -5.07% K -15.64% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.72%EV -4.36% E -1.71% K -2.81% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 20:25
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03% NM 62.02%EV -8.13% E -5.53% K -17.30% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 37.98%EV -9.99% E -4.16% K -7.13% G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 20:29
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49% NM 61.68%EV -8.76% E -6.00% K -19.04% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -11.86% E -5.05% K -8.79% G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerDetroit Tigers (Local)Athletics (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.59I 62.89% NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04% NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-07-06 19:55
Polymarket1.56I 64.10% NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04% NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-06 19:55
Novig1.50I 66.67% NM 64.03%2.67I 37.45% NM 35.97%4.1%2026-07-06 20:35
Smarkets1.47I 68.03% NM 61.82%2.38I 42.02% NM 38.18%10.0%2026-07-06 20:30