Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 6–2 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 66.41%1.51fair odd
EV -0.387%
Edge -0.258%
Kelly -0.774%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.01%66.29%66.43%67.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.5071.43%68.97%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 33.59%2.98fair odd
EV +0.102%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.052%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.42%33.71%33.57%35.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.792.802.9838.02%35.82%35.71%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 66.41%; Athletics (Visit): 33.59%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.977. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.980, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.102%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -3.04%E -2.08%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV +0.102%E +0.034%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -3.04%E -2.08%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -0.570%E -0.192%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -3.04%E -2.08%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -0.570%E -0.192%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 22:10
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -0.570%E -0.192%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 22:10
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -3.04%E -2.08%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -1.24%E -0.422%K -0.640%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-07 22:09
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.59%E -0.891%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-07 22:09
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.59%E -0.891%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-07 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.59%E -0.891%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.59%E -0.891%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 20:39
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.59%E -0.891%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 21:40
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%EV -1.05%E -0.705%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%EV -3.26%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-07 20:39
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.26%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 20:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.93%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 20:59
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 21:49
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 21:50
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 20:59
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 22:10
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 22:40
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-07 22:15
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:19
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 21:30
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 20:59
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 20:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 22:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -6.28%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 20:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -6.62%E -2.38%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 22:19
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.62%E -2.38%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:19
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.62%E -2.38%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -0.387%E -0.258%K -0.774%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-07 22:35
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:35
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 18:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 16:34
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 22:14
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 22:33
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.05%E -0.705%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.05%E -0.705%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 22:30
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.05%E -0.705%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.05%E -0.705%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 22:29
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.05%E -0.705%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 22:29
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.05%E -0.705%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 22:30
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.05%E -0.705%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.05%E -0.705%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -1.72%E -1.16%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -1.72%E -1.16%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -1.72%E -1.16%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:15
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -1.72%E -1.16%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:14
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 22:18
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -11.65%E -4.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 22:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-07 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-07 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-07 21:10
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%0.6%2026-07-07 22:15
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-07-07 22:40
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-07 21:45
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-07 22:25
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-07-07 22:40
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-07-07 22:40
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%4.6%2026-07-07 22:15

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