The School of Odds

Detroit Tigers v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 6–1 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 55.86%1.79fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.960%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%55.98%55.75%57.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.701.701.7662.50%58.80%58.82%56.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 44.14%2.27fair odd
EV +0.201%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.158%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%44.02%44.25%45.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.092.182.182.2747.85%45.91%45.87%44.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.201%E +0.088%K +0.158%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:39
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.201%E +0.088%K +0.158%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:39
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -0.682%E -0.303%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-08 22:40
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.12%E -0.502%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.12%E -0.502%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:40
BetAnything1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.12%E -0.502%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.56%E -0.702%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 22:24
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.56%E -0.702%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.56%E -0.702%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.56%E -0.702%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 22:25
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.56%E -0.702%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 22:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.56%E -0.702%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 22:40
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.56%E -0.702%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 22:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.16%E -3.67%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.56%E -0.702%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 22:40
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.69%E -0.960%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.45%E -1.11%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 22:20
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.69%E -0.960%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.45%E -1.11%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 22:30
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -8.95%E -5.49%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.45%EV -2.45%E -1.11%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 22:40
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.69%E -0.960%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 22:35
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 22:15
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 22:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:15
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:15
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:25
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:25
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:24
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.63%E -6.64%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 22:40
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.33%E -1.52%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 22:14
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 22:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 22:14
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:14
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.21%E -1.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 22:34
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.39%E -5.12%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.21%E -1.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 22:40
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.65%E -2.15%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 22:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.25%E -1.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.81%E -1.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 15:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 19:55
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:14
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:35
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:14
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:15
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 21:54
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 21:54
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:29
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 22:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 22:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 21:13
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.54%E -2.59%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 22:15
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.42%E -3.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.42%E -3.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.42%E -3.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 22:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.48%E -2.62%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 22:39
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 22:40
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.30%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.27%E -4.38%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.74%E -3.71%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 22:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-07-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-07-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-08 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-08 22:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-08 16:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-07-08 22:35
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-07-08 22:40
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%4.1%2026-07-08 21:30
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%5.4%2026-07-08 22:40