Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 4–1 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 53.85%1.86fair odd
EV -0.383%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.450%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%53.68%54.03%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.781.8558.82%56.03%56.18%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 46.15%2.17fair odd
EV -0.310%
Edge -0.143%
Kelly -0.267%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.32%45.97%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.052.052.1651.55%48.72%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -0.383%E -0.207%K -0.450%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-09 22:34
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.921%E -0.501%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 22:39
BetAnything1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -0.921%E -0.501%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -3.54%E -1.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 22:20
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 20:14
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 22:34
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 22:35
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 22:35
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 22:34
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 22:34
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -8.62%E -4.35%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 22:34
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -8.62%E -4.35%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 22:35
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.08%E -4.61%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 22:34
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.46%E -0.798%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.08%E -4.61%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 22:34
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.00%E -1.10%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.16%E -1.02%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 21:09
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.00%E -1.10%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.62%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 22:30
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 21:44
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 22:10
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 22:14
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 22:39
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 22:33
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -10.46%E -5.39%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 22:35
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.310%E -0.143%K -0.267%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-09 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.23%E -0.576%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 22:39
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.23%E -0.576%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 22:40
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.00%E -1.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 22:15
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 21:34
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.61%E -2.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.77%E -3.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 22:24
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 20:15
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 21:09
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 19:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 14:55
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.00%E -1.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 22:39
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.93%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 22:14
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.93%E -2.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 21:05
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 22:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 21:54
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 21:55
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.54%E -1.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 20:13
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.00%E -1.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 21:04
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 21:05
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 21:05
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:35
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 21:59
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 21:03
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.00%E -1.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 22:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 19:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 19:49
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 19:50
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 22:20
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 22:39
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 21:05
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.62%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 21:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.84%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 05:55
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.84%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.39%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 15:04
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -7.23%E -3.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-09 22:15
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 14:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-07-09 22:39
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-09 22:35
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-09 22:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-09 22:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-09 19:25
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-07-09 22:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-09 22:35
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-07-09 21:50