The School of Odds

Colorado Rockies v Washington Nationals

2026-07-22 19:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 45.02%2.22fair odd
EV +0.402%
Edge +0.180%
Kelly +0.327%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.97%45.02%45.16%45.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.122.102.2351%47%48%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 54.98%1.82fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.889%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%54.98%54.84%56.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.731.7960%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.402%E +0.180%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-21 19:35
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.499%E -0.226%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.499%E -0.226%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 18:25
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.30%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.59%E -0.889%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-21 18:25
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-21 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 18:30
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 21:50
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 18:25
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 21:50
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 21:55
MyBookie.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 18:10
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.24%E -1.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 18:00
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.00%E -2.37%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 20:00
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 19:05
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 20:05
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 19:40
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 18:15
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:05
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:05
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:10
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:08
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 19:00
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 21:50
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 18:05
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 18:05
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 19:10
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 18:09
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.80%E -3.29%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.24%E -1.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 22:37
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.80%E -3.29%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.24%E -1.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 22:35
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.95%E -4.98%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 19:10
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.85%E -5.48%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -8.74%E -5.26%K -13.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-07-21 22:35
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-21 18:00
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%4.0%2026-07-21 22:35
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%9.9%2026-07-21 18:05