Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v Washington Nationals

Kickoff: 2026-07-21 00:41 UTC

Final: Colorado Rockies 3–7 Washington Nationals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 45.56%2.19fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.720%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.54%45.62%45.60%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.102.102.2351.55%47.59%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 54.44%1.84fair odd
EV -0.924%
Edge -0.508%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.88%54.38%54.40%56.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.741.741.8261.35%57.51%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 45.56%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 54.44%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +1.61%E +0.720%K +1.31%G +0.021%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-21 00:40
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.673%E -0.309%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-21 00:30
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.673%E -0.309%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.673%E -0.309%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.13%E -0.520%K -0.965%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:40
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.13%E -0.520%K -0.965%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.13%E -0.520%K -0.965%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.13%E -0.520%K -0.965%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.13%E -0.520%K -0.965%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.13%E -0.520%K -0.965%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:40
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.13%E -0.520%K -0.965%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:40
BetAnything🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.58%E -0.733%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-21 00:15
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.04%E -0.949%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 00:39
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.04%E -0.949%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 00:19
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.04%E -0.949%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 00:38
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.04%E -0.949%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.00%E -4.73%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 23:50
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 00:40
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -9.63%E -5.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 22:40
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.924%E -0.508%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-21 00:39
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.47%E -0.812%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-21 00:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.47%E -0.812%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.47%E -0.812%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 00:40
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 00:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 23:55
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 00:35
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -9.63%E -5.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 00:40
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.86%E -1.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.924%E -0.508%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 00:40
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 21:40
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 21:50
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 22:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 18:49
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 00:39
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 00:40
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -11.27%E -6.91%K -17.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 00:40
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.68%E -2.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:25
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.68%E -2.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:24
DraftKings🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -5.68%E -2.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.14%E -2.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 00:40
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 00:40
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 00:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 00:39
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.28%E -3.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 00:38
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.60%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.82%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -7.51%E -3.70%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 00:40
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.96%E -3.94%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.96%E -3.94%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 00:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.96%E -3.94%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 00:39
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.87%E -4.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 00:40
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.87%E -4.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 00:29
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.87%E -4.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 00:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.61%E -5.98%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-07-20 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-07-20 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-07-20 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-07-21 00:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-21 00:40
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-07-21 00:40
BetOpenly2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-07-21 00:39
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%3.1%2026-07-21 00:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%3.3%2026-07-21 00:40
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%8.8%2026-07-21 00:40