Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 00:41 UTC

Final: Colorado Rockies 9–13 Tampa Bay Rays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 38.64%2.59fair odd
EV +2.39%
Edge +0.903%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%38.53%38.71%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6543.48%40.02%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 61.36%1.63fair odd
EV -0.595%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.960%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%61.47%61.29%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.531.6268.97%64.91%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 38.64%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 61.36%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV +2.39%E +0.903%K +1.45%G +0.035%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-04 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +2.39%E +0.903%K +1.45%G +0.035%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 23:39
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +1.23%E +0.471%K +0.762%G +0.009%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 00:40
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 22:05
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -7.35%E -4.86%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -7.35%E -4.86%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:39
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -7.35%E -4.86%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:40
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 23:39
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:40
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.311%E -0.121%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 00:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -0.697%E -0.271%K -0.444%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 00:38
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.08%E -0.423%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.44%E -1.53%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-03 22:15
Bovada🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -1.08%E -0.423%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 00:35
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 19:15
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 00:40
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 00:40
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -1.86%E -0.731%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.82%E -1.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 00:39
BetUS🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -1.86%E -0.731%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 00:39
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.63%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:29
GTbets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.02%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 00:40
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -0.595%E -0.368%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 00:39
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.05%E -1.93%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 00:40
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:39
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 00:09
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 21:59
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:39
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 20:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 20:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 20:14
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 21:09
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 19:15
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.19%E -6.21%K -19.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -3.79%E -1.52%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.21%E -0.751%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -3.79%E -1.52%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.21%E -0.751%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -4.17%E -1.68%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -11.03%E -7.60%K -24.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 00:40
DraftKings🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.56%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 00:40
SportsBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.95%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 00:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.05%E -1.93%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 00:40
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 00:40
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.89%E -3.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.89%E -3.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 00:38
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 00:39
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 00:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 00:04
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.49%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:40
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.49%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -6.88%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 00:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 00:39
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 00:39
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.20%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.82%E -1.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:39
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.20%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.82%E -1.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.20%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 00:40
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.89%E -3.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 00:29
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.89%E -3.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 00:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-08-04 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-08-04 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-08-04 00:40
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-08-04 00:40
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-08-03 20:05
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-08-03 20:05
BetOpenly2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-08-04 00:39
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%1.3%2026-08-04 00:40
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%1.6%2026-08-04 00:40
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.1%2026-08-04 00:40

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