Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.55
assuming max odds 1.68
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 41.22%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 58.78%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.11%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +5.11%E +2.00%K +3.30%G +0.168% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +3.05%E +1.22%K +2.03%G +0.062% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +3.05%E +1.22%K +2.03%G +0.062% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +3.05%E +1.22%K +2.03%G +0.062% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +3.05%E +1.22%K +2.03%G +0.062% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -8.89%E -5.73%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +3.05%E +1.22%K +2.03%G +0.062% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -8.89%E -5.73%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +3.05%E +1.22%K +2.03%G +0.062% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -8.89%E -5.73%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +2.22%E +0.896%K +1.50%G +0.033% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -8.89%E -5.73%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +2.22%E +0.896%K +1.50%G +0.033% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -8.89%E -5.73%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +2.22%E +0.896%K +1.50%G +0.033% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -8.89%E -5.73%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +2.22%E +0.896%K +1.50%G +0.033% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -9.48%E -6.15%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV +0.986%E +0.403%K +0.680%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV +0.986%E +0.403%K +0.680%G +0.007% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -10.65%E -7.01%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.162%E +0.067%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 16:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV +0.162%E +0.067%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -10.06%E -6.58%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.250%E -0.103%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -1.07%E -0.448%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -12.42%E -8.33%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -1.49%E -0.622%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.60%E -2.19%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -1.90%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.25%E -0.743%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 19:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.90%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.84%E -1.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.90%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.84%E -1.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.90%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.42%E -1.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.90%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.31%E -0.975%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.42%E -1.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.31%E -0.975%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.42%E -1.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.31%E -0.975%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.31%E -0.975%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 19:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 04:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.55%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.37%E -1.88%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 19:08 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.78%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 19:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.78%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 15:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.43%E -2.83%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.43%E -2.83%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.19%E -2.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 18:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.60%E -2.19%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 18:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 18:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 18:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |