Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 00:41 UTC

Final: Colorado Rockies 7–9 Tampa Bay Rays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 39.44%2.54fair odd
EV +2.54%
Edge +0.976%
Kelly +1.59%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.95%39.70%39.47%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.452.6044.44%41.14%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 60.56%1.65fair odd
EV -0.072%
Edge -0.043%
Kelly -0.110%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.30%60.53%62.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.581.571.6567.11%63.49%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 39.44%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 60.56%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV +2.54%E +0.976%K +1.59%G +0.040%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-04 22:29
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.565%E +0.222%K +0.365%G +0.002%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.565%E +0.222%K +0.365%G +0.002%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 22:04
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%EV +0.171%E +0.067%K +0.111%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%EV -2.49%E -1.55%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 00:28
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.01%E -0.403%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.49%E -1.55%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 23:15
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.01%E -0.403%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.49%E -1.55%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 00:40
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.41%E -0.563%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 00:39
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.41%E -0.563%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 23:10
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.41%E -0.563%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.41%E -0.563%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.41%E -0.563%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:10
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.41%E -0.563%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:35
Caesars🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%EV -1.28%E -0.787%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 00:34
FanDuel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.89%E -1.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 00:40
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.13%E -3.95%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.13%E -3.95%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:09
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.13%E -3.95%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:10
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.13%E -3.95%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:10
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.13%E -3.95%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.20%E -0.885%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.13%E -3.95%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:10
BetAnything🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.59%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.10%E -1.94%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 00:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -2.59%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:33
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.89%E -1.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 00:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.89%E -1.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 00:39
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.89%E -1.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 19:15
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 00:30
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:20
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.13%E -3.95%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:10
Bovada🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.77%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 00:30
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.56%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:15
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.56%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:15
SportsBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.96%E -2.06%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:40
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.10%E -1.94%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.10%E -1.94%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:35
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.10%E -1.94%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:38
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 00:40
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 00:39
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.13%E -3.95%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.13%E -3.95%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 00:30
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.76%E -6.55%K -19.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 22:04
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:19
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 22:13
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.32%E -3.12%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.89%E -1.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 00:35
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.32%E -3.12%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.89%E -1.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 00:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.32%E -3.12%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.32%E -3.12%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 00:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.072%E -0.043%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.27%E -5.01%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.89%E -1.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.27%E -5.01%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.89%E -1.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 00:39
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.27%E -5.01%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.89%E -1.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 00:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.27%E -5.01%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.10%E -1.94%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 00:28
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.27%E -5.01%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.10%E -1.94%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-08-05 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-08-05 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-08-05 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-08-05 00:35
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-05 00:40
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-04 15:15
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%1.8%2026-08-05 00:40
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-08-05 00:40
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-08-05 00:40
BetOpenly2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%3.7%2026-08-05 00:39