Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 19:11 UTC

Final: Colorado Rockies 1–2 Seattle Mariners

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 40.54%2.47fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.443%
Kelly -0.750%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.48%40.51%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.4445.45%42.43%42.55%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 59.46%1.68fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%59.52%59.49%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6665.36%62.49%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 40.54%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 59.46%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.44, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.08%E -0.443%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.49%E -1.52%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-20 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.89%E -0.781%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.49%E -1.52%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-20 17:28
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.89%E -0.781%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.49%E -1.52%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-20 17:29
Caesars🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -2.30%E -0.953%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.43%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 01:59
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.89%E -1.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-20 18:39
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.89%E -1.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-20 12:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 18:39
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 18:39
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 18:39
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 18:39
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 18:39
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.70%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 06:34
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.30%E -0.782%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-20 18:29
BetUS🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.49%E -1.52%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-20 17:34
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.49%E -1.52%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 17:14
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.27%E -2.65%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 03:29
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 02:49
SportsBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.43%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 07:14
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.92%E -1.65%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 17:54
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.92%E -1.65%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.08%E -1.89%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 02:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.08%E -1.89%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 12:23
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 18:29
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.27%E -2.65%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 01:15
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.27%E -2.65%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 17:54
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.27%E -2.65%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 18:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.27%E -2.65%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 10:14
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 03:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 03:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 03:29
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 03:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.46%E -3.43%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 02:49
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.46%E -3.43%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 19:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 19:10
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 19:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.73%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 18:39
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.54%E -2.38%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.27%E -2.65%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 19:09
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.54%E -2.38%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.27%E -2.65%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 15:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.95%E -2.56%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.27%E -2.65%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 18:24
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.89%E -1.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 03:24
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.08%E -1.89%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 02:19
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 01:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 02:44
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 17:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 17:54
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 02:39
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 19:07
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 12:44
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:44
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 18:59
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.76%E -2.94%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.81%E -4.91%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-20 19:10
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-20 19:04
Polymarket◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-20 07:24
ProphetX◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-20 19:10
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-20 18:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-20 18:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-20 18:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-20 18:59
BetOpenly◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-20 18:24
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-09-20 19:04