Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 00:11 UTC

Final: Colorado Rockies 4–5 Seattle Mariners

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 37.34%2.68fair odd
EV +0.078%
Edge +0.029%
Kelly +0.046%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.12%37.33%37.35%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.552.6842.55%39.29%39.22%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 62.66%1.60fair odd
EV -0.375%
Edge -0.236%
Kelly -0.635%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%62.67%62.65%63.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.521.531.5968.97%65.77%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 37.34%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 62.66%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.678. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.680, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.078%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV +0.078%E +0.029%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-18 15:05
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -1.04%E -0.393%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.51%E -2.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-18 15:03
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -2.16%E -0.825%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -2.25%E -1.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -2.16%E -0.825%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -2.25%E -1.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-18 15:24
BetUS🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.16%E -0.825%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.51%E -2.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-18 15:29
Bovada🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -2.54%E -0.972%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 15:24
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 06:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 07:14
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.66%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 15:05
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.66%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 14:35
DraftKings🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.66%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.03%E -1.57%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 15:04
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -4.40%E -1.72%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -0.375%E -0.236%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-18 10:24
Caesars🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -4.40%E -1.72%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 06:58
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.51%E -2.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 07:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.51%E -2.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 08:45
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 15:25
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 06:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 14:34
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:50
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 15:15
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 15:10
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 15:15
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 15:14
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Paddy Power🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 06:45
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.64%E -4.46%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.64%E -4.46%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:10
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.15%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:05
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 06:58
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 14:54
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 06:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 07:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:35
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 06:48
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 06:48
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:34
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.39%E -2.98%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.51%E -2.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 07:00
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.39%E -2.98%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.51%E -2.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.39%E -2.98%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.51%E -2.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 10:19
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -7.39%E -2.98%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -9.15%E -6.31%K -20.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:39
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.51%E -3.47%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.51%E -3.47%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.51%E -3.47%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -12.25%E -5.21%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -8.52%E -5.84%K -18.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.26%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.74%-0.1%2026-09-18 14:40
ProphetX◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-09-18 15:14
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Polymarket◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-18 15:00
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%2.7%2026-09-18 15:25