Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.18
assuming max odds 1.83
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 46.28%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 53.72%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.893%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV +0.893%E +0.410%K +0.757%G +0.007% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -6.53%E -3.75%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -0.033%E -0.015%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -7.07%E -4.08%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -0.033%E -0.015%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -7.07%E -4.08%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.495%E -0.230%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.495%E -0.230%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.495%E -0.230%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.495%E -0.230%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.495%E -0.230%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.495%E -0.230%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.958%E -0.448%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.958%E -0.448%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.958%E -0.448%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -0.958%E -0.448%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.42%E -0.667%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.23%E -1.23%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 00:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.42%E -0.667%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.77%E -1.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.88%E -0.889%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.23%E -1.23%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 23:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.88%E -0.889%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.23%E -1.23%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.23%E -1.23%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.23%E -1.23%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 00:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.69%E -0.926%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -2.81%E -1.34%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.75%E -5.80%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.27%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.45%E -3.10%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.74%E -1.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.84%E -2.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.74%E -1.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.74%E -1.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.45%E -3.10%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.66%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 22:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.12%E -2.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -5.59%E -2.74%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.69%E -0.926%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.68%E -5.10%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.31%E -1.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.75%E -5.00%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 00:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -12.07%E -6.35%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-07-05 00:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.48% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.52% | 10.5% | 2026-07-05 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 00:41 |