Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.54
assuming max odds 1.67
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 40.05%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 59.95%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.72%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV +1.72%E +0.675%K +1.11%G +0.019% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.114%E +0.046%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.114%E +0.046%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.114%E +0.046%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.114%E +0.046%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.114%E +0.046%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.114%E +0.046%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.114%E +0.046%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.114%E +0.046%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.114%E +0.046%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.114%E +0.046%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.114%E +0.046%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.67%E -4.98%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -0.287%E -0.115%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-17 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.287%E -0.115%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-17 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.687%E -0.277%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-17 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.687%E -0.277%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.67%E -4.98%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.49%E -0.605%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.27%E -1.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-16 06:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.89%E -0.771%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.89%E -0.771%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-15 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.89%E -0.771%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.89%E -0.771%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.87%E -5.84%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.89%E -0.771%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.87%E -5.84%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.29%E -0.938%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.69%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 22:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.07%E -2.55%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-16 20:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.08%E -0.652%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-17 00:37 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.07%E -2.55%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.07%E -2.55%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.27%E -3.34%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 00:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.27%E -3.34%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 00:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 00:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 00:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 04:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.27%E -5.41%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 00:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -10.67%E -7.16%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-17 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.29%E -1.80%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.27%E -3.34%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 12:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.08%E -0.652%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-17 00:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 04:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 05:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.09%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.07%E -2.55%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.49%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.27%E -1.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.55%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.69%E -2.87%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 00:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -7.09%E -3.06%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -7.67%E -4.98%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 00:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -7.49%E -3.24%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 00:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -9.10%E -4.01%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV +0.124%E +0.074%K +0.185%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.67%E -1.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 00:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -9.47%E -6.27%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.90%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.90%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.07%E -2.55%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.90%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.07%E -2.55%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 00:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-09-17 00:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 21:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-09-17 00:40 |