Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v San Diego Padres

Kickoff: 2026-09-15 00:41 UTC

Final: Colorado Rockies 7–8 San Diego Padres

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 34.15%2.93fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.366%
Kelly +0.552%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%34.24%34.15%36.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.752.9640.00%36.38%36.36%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visit)

Prediction 65.85%1.52fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.816%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.83%65.76%65.85%67.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.72%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 34.15%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 65.85%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV +1.08%E +0.366%K +0.552%G +0.006%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV +1.08%E +0.366%K +0.552%G +0.006%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 00:10
GTbets🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV +0.399%E +0.136%K +0.206%G +0.001%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -3.86%E -2.64%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 00:10
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +0.058%E +0.020%K +0.030%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-15 00:15
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.967%E -0.333%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 22:40
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.967%E -0.333%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.83%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:10
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.967%E -0.333%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.967%E -0.333%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 00:30
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -2.33%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -1.88%E -1.26%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 00:15
BetUS🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.33%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-14 23:14
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.67%E -0.938%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.54%E -1.72%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-15 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.67%E -0.938%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.67%E -0.938%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 23:15
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.67%E -0.938%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 00:15
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.67%E -0.938%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 00:20
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 23:25
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 23:25
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 00:30
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 23:25
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 23:25
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 23:10
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 23:10
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 23:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -5.41%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 00:10
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.09%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.09%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.09%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 23:25
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.09%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.09%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 00:40
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.09%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 23:15
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.09%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 00:40
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.80%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.54%E -1.72%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.80%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.52%E -3.11%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 23:25
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.80%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.80%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.83%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:40
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.80%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 00:33
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.80%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 00:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.80%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 00:40
DraftKings🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.87%EV -8.14%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.13%EV -5.18%E -3.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 00:40
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -8.48%E -3.16%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 00:10
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -8.48%E -3.16%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 00:10
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.22%E -0.816%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.22%E -0.816%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.22%E -0.816%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.22%E -0.816%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:40
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.22%E -0.816%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.22%E -0.816%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.22%E -0.816%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:40
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.22%E -0.816%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:40
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.22%E -0.816%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:40
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.22%E -0.816%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 00:40
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.54%E -1.72%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.54%E -1.72%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.49%E -4.57%K -15.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 00:40
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -10.19%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -1.88%E -1.26%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 00:40
ReBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.99%EV -10.53%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.01%EV -7.15%E -5.07%K -17.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 00:40
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -12.92%E -5.07%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -5.83%E -4.08%K -13.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -14.63%E -5.85%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -7.15%E -5.07%K -17.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 00:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-15 00:40
ProphetX◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-09-15 00:40
Polymarket◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-09-14 23:10
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-15 00:15
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-15 00:40
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%1.8%2026-09-15 00:40
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.5%2026-09-15 00:40
BetOpenly◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%4.7%2026-09-15 00:35