Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v San Diego Padres

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 00:41 UTC

Final: Colorado Rockies 0–1 San Diego Padres

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 43.14%2.32fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.583%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%43.05%43.15%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.232.3546.51%44.64%44.84%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visit)

Prediction 56.86%1.76fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.940%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%56.95%56.85%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.681.7362.11%59.85%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 43.14%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 56.86%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.02%G +0.014%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.18%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 23:55
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.02%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -8.45%E -5.25%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV +0.077%E +0.033%K +0.058%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV +0.077%E +0.033%K +0.058%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:55
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.354%E -0.153%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 00:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-22 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-22 00:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 21:35
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.31%E -4.49%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:55
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.31%E -4.49%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:55
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.31%E -4.49%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:55
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.31%E -4.49%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.31%E -4.49%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:55
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.31%E -4.49%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:55
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.31%E -4.49%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.31%E -4.49%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:55
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:55
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.786%E -0.342%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:55
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.22%E -0.532%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 21:34
Everygame🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.65%E -0.723%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-21 21:45
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.51%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.63%E -0.940%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 23:25
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.51%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.63%E -0.940%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 00:30
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 18:44
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 21:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 22:40
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 16:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 20:49
DraftKings🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 15:54
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 16:00
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 15:54
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 18:10
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 04:10
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 23:35
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 00:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 23:20
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 04:10
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 04:10
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 04:10
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 00:39
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 03:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 03:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 03:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 03:25
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.18%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 12:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 22:15
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.96%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:35
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.96%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 00:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 00:39
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 00:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 00:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-04-22 00:30
BetOpenly2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-04-21 23:30
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-22 00:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-22 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-22 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-22 00:40
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-21 15:20
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-21 23:55
Novig2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-04-22 00:40
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-04-22 00:40