Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v Philadelphia Phillies

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 20:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 37.47%2.67fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.430%
Kelly +0.683%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.25%37.61%37.50%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.582.582.7043.48%38.80%38.76%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 62.53%1.60fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.759%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%62.39%62.50%64.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.521.521.5868.03%66.00%65.79%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 37.47%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 62.53%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 20:05
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 19:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 19:35
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:05
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 19:34
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:05
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:10
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.16%E +0.430%K +0.683%G +0.008%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:10
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -1.46%E -0.555%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -2.45%E -1.57%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 19:50
GTbets🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -1.84%E -0.701%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -2.45%E -1.57%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.58%E -0.994%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.45%E -1.57%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.58%E -0.994%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.45%E -1.57%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 16:48
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.58%E -0.994%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.58%E -0.994%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 16:50
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.58%E -0.994%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.58%E -0.994%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 19:50
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.58%E -0.994%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 14:20
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.33%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.20%E -0.759%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 18:15
BetUS🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.33%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.45%E -1.57%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 19:00
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.33%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 16:50
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.33%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 19:15
Bovada🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.33%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 19:40
SportsBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -3.33%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 19:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.70%E -2.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 19:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.07%E -1.98%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 20:10
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.70%E -2.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 19:50
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:10
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:24
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 19:15
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:45
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.07%E -1.98%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 18:30
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.07%E -1.98%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 18:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 19:55
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 19:48
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.08%E -2.86%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.70%E -2.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:10
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.08%E -2.86%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.70%E -2.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:10
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.20%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:50
DraftKings🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%EV -9.70%E -4.03%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -3.70%E -2.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:10
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.07%E -1.98%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66%0.1%2026-04-03 19:50
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-03 20:10
ProphetX2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-04-03 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-04-03 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-04-03 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-04-03 20:10
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-04-03 20:05
Novig2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%1.8%2026-04-03 20:10
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-04-03 20:10
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%3.3%2026-04-03 20:10