Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v Kansas City Royals

2026-08-02 00:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 52.14%1.92fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.25%52.17%53.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.821.831.8857.47%54.83%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 47.86%2.09fair odd
EV -0.932%
Edge -0.450%
Kelly -0.871%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.74%47.75%47.83%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.992.002.0753.19%50.18%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Colorado Rockies (Local): 52.14%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 47.86%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.07, with an expected value of -0.932%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.97%E -1.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 17:14
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.89%E -0.922%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.89%E -0.922%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 18:19
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:19
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.68%E -3.42%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 18:15
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.932%E -0.450%K -0.871%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 17:24
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.80%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:19
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:19
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:20
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:14
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:19
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:19
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:14
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 18:14
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.62%E -3.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 18:14
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:14
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:24
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 18:19
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:24
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:25
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.68%E -3.42%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 17:19
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.67%E -3.72%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 18:19
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.71%E -4.36%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -9.55%E -5.05%K -10.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 18:14
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -10.03%E -5.33%K -11.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-31 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-31 18:15
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.1%2026-07-31 18:14
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%8.6%2026-07-31 19:25
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%10.1%2026-07-31 18:15