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Colorado Rockies v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Colorado Rockies (Local)
Prediction 53.54%1.87fair odd
EV -0.956%
Edge -0.517%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%53.48%53.44%55.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.771.8558.82%56.32%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 46.46%2.15fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.58%46.52%46.56%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.2051.28%48.91%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 53.54%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 46.46%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +2.22%E +1.01%K +1.85%G +0.041% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +1.29%E +0.591%K +1.09%G +0.014% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +1.29%E +0.591%K +1.09%G +0.014% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.105%E -0.049%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.17%E -2.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.105%E -0.049%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.10%E -1.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.570%E -0.266%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.50%E -0.707%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.17%E -2.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.50%E -0.707%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.56%E -1.41%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.56%E -1.41%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -7.92%E -4.60%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -4.29%E -2.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 13:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.84%E -3.93%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.84%E -3.93%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.38%E -4.27%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.22%E -2.56%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.68%E -2.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.68%E -2.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 15:52 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.70%E -2.64%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.15%E -3.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.15%E -3.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.15%E -3.04%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.56%E -1.41%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 13:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 15:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.31%E -3.61%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.99%E -5.29%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.99%E -5.29%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.38%E -4.27%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.54%E -3.79%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 18:48 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.956%E -0.517%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.77%E -3.28%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -7.38%E -4.27%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.93%E -4.56%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.03%E -1.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.63%E -2.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 18:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -5.24%E -2.96%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -9.40%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 19:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.78% | 12.5% | 2026-08-02 19:10 |
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