Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v Kansas City Royals

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 01:41 UTC

Final: Colorado Rockies 3–1 Kansas City Royals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 49.85%2.01fair odd
EV -0.298%
Edge -0.149%
Kelly -0.298%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.85%49.79%50.00%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.911.912.0054.95%52.24%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 50.15%1.99fair odd
EV -0.705%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.720%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%50.21%50.00%51.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.911.9855.56%52.49%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 49.85%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 50.15%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -0.298%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.298%E -0.149%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 23:54
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -1.29%E -0.654%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-31 23:55
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.29%E -1.17%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.71%E -0.872%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 01:30
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.21%E -1.13%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.21%E -1.13%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 01:40
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.79%E -1.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.22%E -3.33%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 23:53
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.79%E -1.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.22%E -3.33%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.29%E -1.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -0.705%E -0.356%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.29%E -1.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.72%E -2.48%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.21%E -0.613%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.21%E -0.613%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 01:09
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.21%E -0.613%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 01:09
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 00:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 00:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.22%E -3.91%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 00:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 00:14
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.29%E -2.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.72%E -2.48%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:35
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.29%E -2.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.22%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 01:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.29%E -2.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.72%E -3.04%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 01:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.29%E -2.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.72%E -3.04%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:50
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:39
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:34
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 00:34
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 00:34
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 20:05
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:39
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 00:15
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 00:14
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 00:14
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 00:14
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 00:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.22%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 01:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.22%E -3.33%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 01:00
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.78%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.48%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.78%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.48%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.78%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.48%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.78%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.72%E -2.48%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:15
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:19
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.22%E -2.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 01:34
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.06%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 00:14
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.22%E -3.91%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 01:19
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.33%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 22:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.91%K -8.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.23%E -4.50%K -9.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.27%E -5.09%K -11.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.73%E -5.41%K -12.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 01:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-01 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-01 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-01 00:40
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-01 00:45
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-08-01 01:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-08-01 01:39
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-08-01 01:39
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-08-01 01:39
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%4.9%2026-08-01 01:30

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.