Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 00:11 UTC

Final: Colorado Rockies 3–4 Cleveland Guardians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 44.53%2.25fair odd
EV +0.185%
Edge +0.082%
Kelly +0.148%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.62%44.58%47.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.172.2550.00%46.33%46.19%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 55.47%1.80fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.706%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.91%55.38%55.42%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.721.7861.73%58.27%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 44.53%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 55.47%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.246. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.250, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.185%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.185%E +0.082%K +0.148%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-21 22:34
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +0.185%E +0.082%K +0.148%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +0.185%E +0.082%K +0.148%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.706%E -0.317%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.706%E -0.317%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 23:25
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.15%E -0.519%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.37%E -1.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-22 23:00
theScore Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -1.60%E -0.722%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-22 21:35
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.26%E -0.706%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-22 23:20
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 22:40
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 23:20
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 21:45
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.37%E -1.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 23:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 23:25
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 23:25
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 23:25
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 23:25
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 23:25
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.36%E -4.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:35
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.36%E -4.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.36%E -4.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.928%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.47%E -5.13%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 05:34
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-22 23:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 23:23
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.93%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.93%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 22:40
BetAnything🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.93%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.92%E -1.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 00:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.93%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.47%E -5.13%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.93%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.47%E -5.13%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 23:25
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.92%E -1.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 23:20
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 22:40
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 23:20
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 21:30
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 23:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 23:25
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 22:39
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.70%E -3.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.70%E -3.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:49
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.36%E -4.41%K -10.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 21:44
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 00:09
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -10.13%E -6.25%K -16.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 23:25
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:15
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 22:04
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.59%E -2.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 22:04
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 22:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.03%E -2.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.14%E -3.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.83%E -3.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.80%E -4.05%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 23:43
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.72%E -4.25%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.95%E -5.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.26%E -0.706%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -10.95%E -5.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.37%E -1.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 00:10
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.95%E -5.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.92%E -1.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 23:57
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.95%E -5.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.92%E -1.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-08-22 23:45
ProphetX2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-08-23 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-08-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-08-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-08-23 00:10
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-08-23 00:00
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-22 21:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-22 21:30
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-08-22 21:35