Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.38
assuming max odds 1.71
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 42.20%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 57.80%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.442%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +0.442%E +0.186%K +0.320%G +0.001% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.79%E -3.55%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +0.442%E +0.186%K +0.320%G +0.001% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.79%E -3.55%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-21 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV +0.020%E +0.008%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -5.79%E -3.55%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.824%E -0.351%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 00:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.824%E -0.351%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.824%E -0.351%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.824%E -0.351%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.824%E -0.351%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.95%E -4.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.824%E -0.351%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.95%E -4.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.824%E -0.351%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.95%E -4.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.824%E -0.351%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.95%E -4.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.824%E -0.351%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.95%E -4.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.824%E -0.351%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.95%E -4.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -0.824%E -0.351%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -8.10%E -5.10%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -1.25%E -0.533%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.67%E -0.716%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 23:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -1.67%E -0.716%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -2.09%E -0.901%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -2.09%E -0.901%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -8.68%E -5.49%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -2.09%E -0.901%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -8.68%E -5.49%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.51%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.17%E -0.682%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-20 20:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-21 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.79%E -3.55%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 20:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 05:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.17%E -0.682%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.36%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.06%E -2.44%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.78%E -1.66%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.20%E -1.85%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.17%E -0.682%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.20%E -1.85%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.17%E -0.682%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -4.20%E -1.85%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-22 00:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 21:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 00:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 00:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 00:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.41%E -6.72%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.06%E -2.44%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.06%E -2.44%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.31%E -2.84%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.06%E -2.44%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -6.73%E -3.05%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -8.10%E -5.10%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 00:13 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 00:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.06%E -2.44%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 00:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 00:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 00:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.6% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |